Articles by Nishant Ranjan
How Congress regained prominence in Punjab
To be sure, the Congress’s performance can also be ascribed to its ability to win back its vote share in selected pockets of the state
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 08:20 AM IST
Explaining Cong’s bittersweet result in K’taka LS polls
The Congress added eight seats to its 2019 tally but the results are a let down from the party’s massive assembly election victory in May 2023
Updated on Jun 05, 2024 07:56 AM IST
How did the Congress bounce back in Punjab?
In 2022, AAP won a three-fourth majority in assembly elections in Punjab. Congress, which was in power in the state, was reduced to a seat share of just 23%
Updated on Jun 04, 2024 11:25 PM IST
Underlying threads behind BJP’s 2019, 2024 election results
Most exit polls have predicted a third term for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
Updated on Jun 02, 2024 01:10 AM IST
Highest number of intra-alliance fights for both camps in phase 7
There are overall 92 candidates from INDIA in this phase, with intra-alliance conflicts in 29 of 57 PCs
Updated on Jun 01, 2024 07:58 AM IST
Number Theory: Decoding BJP’s political fortunes in Uttar Pradesh in 5 charts
BJP is the only political party in Uttar Pradesh to have crossed the 30% vote share threshold since the 1990s.
Published on May 31, 2024 07:56 AM IST
Number Theory: SAD and its importance in Punjab's poll contest
The SAD fought the 2022 assembly elections on its own after walking out of the National Democratic Alliance on the issues of three contentious farm laws.
Published on May 28, 2024 07:47 AM IST
Decoding the diverging INDIA, NDA alliance equations in latest phase
The single biggest source of intra-alliance conflicts for INDIA bloc is the lack of a formal seat-sharing deal.
Updated on May 25, 2024 04:31 AM IST
Number Theory: Can Congress stage a comeback in Haryana?
The BJP’s vote share in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Haryana was a massive 58%, the second highest in the history of the state.
Updated on May 24, 2024 09:08 AM IST
Number Theory: The caste calculus of NDA and INDIA in Uttar Pradesh
Have the NDA and the INDIA bloc fielded candidates from the same or different caste category/castes in parliamentary constituencies?
Published on May 22, 2024 09:08 AM IST
Lok Sabha elections: Understanding NDA, INDIA bloc’s arithmetic in phase 5
INDIA bloc faces intra-alliance conflicts, especially in West Bengal. NDA alliance remains seamless.
Updated on May 20, 2024 04:56 AM IST
Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi
Number Theory: The JD(U) risk to the NDA in Bihar
How much will the JD(U) matter for the NDA’s performance in Bihar in these elections? Here are three charts which answer this question
Updated on May 15, 2024 09:29 AM IST
The contrasting INDIA, NDA alliance equations in Phase 4 of Lok Sabha elections
To be sure, even the intra-alliance conflicts in INDIA are largely notional outside the eight parliamentary constituencies in West Bengal.
Updated on May 13, 2024 07:54 AM IST
Number Theory: Understanding the Parliamentary, state contests in Andhra Pradesh
Was YSRCP’s growth at the cost of the TDP a result of the TDP parting ways with the BJP, and will this reverse with the TDP and BJP joining hands again?
Updated on May 09, 2024 08:32 AM IST
How cohesive are NDA, INDIA blocs in third phase of Lok Sabha elections?
Like the first two phases of the 2024 elections, the Congress-led INDIA bloc will contest the third phase in a less cohesive manner than the BJP-led NDA .
Updated on May 07, 2024 03:43 AM IST
Number Theory: Regional dynamics in West Bengal politics
Even a small swing of voters from the TMC to BJP in Burdwan and Junglemahal sub-regions could help the BJP reclaim its 2019 advantage in these two regions.
Updated on May 02, 2024 08:51 AM IST
Lok Sabha polls: EC releases voter turnout data; most regions see dip
EC released disaggregated voter turnout data, which showed that 84% of parliamentary constituencies saw declines of varying magnitude in turnout figures
Updated on May 01, 2024 07:53 AM IST
INDIA bloc, NDA less cohesive in 2nd phase of Lok Sabha elections
In the second phase of national elections, the BJP-led NDA shows more cohesion than the Congress-led INDIA, with internal conflicts in several constituencies.
Updated on Apr 26, 2024 04:26 AM IST
Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi
Number Theory: How socially representative is Bihar’s candidature?
The data shows that the NDA has a bigger share of candidates from upper castes (Rajput, Bhumihar, Kayasth and Brahmin) and EBCs than the INDIA block.
Published on Apr 25, 2024 02:16 PM IST
Number Theory: What is at stake in today's voting?
After Friday’s polling, the casting of votes will have concluded in almost one-fifth of India’s 543 PCs.
Published on Apr 19, 2024 09:04 AM IST
Lok Sabha elections: What does the NDA-INDIA contest look like in Phase 1?
As far as the parties in the INDIA bloc are concerned, they have put up 114 candidates in the 102 PCs which are going to polls in this phase.
Updated on Apr 19, 2024 07:10 AM IST
Nishant Ranjan, New Delhi
Number Theory: How the electorate has changed over the years
This is the first of a two-part data journalism series on voters in 2024 general elections. The 2nd part will look at the economic status of first-time voters.
Published on Apr 17, 2024 10:13 AM IST
Number Theory: How the electoral math in Punjab has changed since 2019
What has made the political situation even more complicated is that the BJP and the SAD have parted ways
Published on Apr 15, 2024 08:59 AM IST
Number Theory: Four questions which will define the 2024 elections
Here are four charts that describe the four questions the results of this election will answer.
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:35 AM IST
Can BJP raise its Lok Sabha tally despite skewed regional showings?
Because the BJP has a big regional skew in its performance, this is an important consideration for the BJP’s electoral math in the 2024 elections.
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:36 AM IST
Four questions that will define the 2024 elections
Will the BJP be able to meet its seat target, will the Congress improve its tally — these are among the key questions the LS elections could answer
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 05:56 AM IST
Number Theory: What is the AAP’s core politics?
The AAP’s decision to have an alliance with the Congress in Delhi will make it relatively immune to the voter flight towards the Congress
Published on Mar 13, 2024 07:08 PM IST
Number Theory: What will a BJP-BJD alliance mean in Odisha?
The BJD is perhaps the only regional political party in a major Indian state where the party's leadership will not be passed on to someone within the family
Updated on Mar 08, 2024 09:18 PM IST
Number Theory: Political and social battles that women in India fight
Women are still forced to shoulder a disproportionate share of household responsibilities. This unfair burden doesn't disappear with education or rise in income
Published on Mar 08, 2024 09:01 AM IST