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Nishant Ranjan
Articles by Nishant Ranjan

The limits of anti-Congress politics

The first non-Congress government at the Centre was sworn in soon after Emergency, in 1977. It lasted less than three years. What followed was a rather misleading triumph for the Congress, however. The 1984 election would, in fact, mark the end of single-party dominance for a long time in India.

Election workers count ballot papers. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:37 PM IST

The making and unmaking of Indira Gandhi

Let three charts narrate the story of one of the most influential politicans in India's modern history.

Indira Gandhi studies a board bearing election results. (HT Photo)
Updated on Apr 05, 2024 01:35 PM IST

Number Theory: What explains BJP’s love for Charan Singh?

Charan Singh began his political career in the Congress party and only parted ways with it after the 1967 elections when he was not made the chief minister.

Former prime minister Chaudhary Charan Singh.(File)
Published on Feb 21, 2024 01:42 PM IST

Number Theory: Can the BJP win 370 seats in Lok Sabha polls?

One way to answer this question is to look at how much the BJP will have to gain compared to previous elections to achieve this target.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi predicted on Monday that the NDA will cross the 400 mark in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.(HT File Photo/Sanchit Khanna)
Updated on Feb 07, 2024 12:32 AM IST

Number Theory: Will Hemant Soren’s ST pitch aid JMM prospects?

The BJP performed much better than the JMM even in ST-reserved Lok Sabha constituencies during the 2019 general elections

Jharkhand CM Champai Soren (left) with Hemant Soren (centre) in Ranchi on Monday. (ANI Photo)
Updated on Feb 06, 2024 07:39 AM IST

Number Theory: Will the BSP play a role in this year's elections?

With the BJP becoming a dominant party, a lot of the non-SC support, and perhaps even non-Jatav SC support the BSP enjoyed, has gone back to the BJP

BSP chief Mayawati at a press conference on her birthday in Lucknow on Monday.(ANI Photo)
Updated on Jan 16, 2024 08:34 AM IST

Number Theory: A look at urban migration amid language riots in India

Is fear of migrants taking over the most lucrative segments of Karnataka’s economy fuelling such violence in India’s biggest urban centres?

Activists of the Karnataka Rakshana Vedike during a rally over the 60% Kannada sign board rules, in Bengaluru on December 27, 2023.(PTI)
Updated on Jan 05, 2024 09:39 AM IST

Number Theory: 4 charts that capture 2024’s biggest political questions

The BJP’s first full-term government at the Centre was formed after the 1999 elections. That victory came on the back of a broad-based alliance.

A voting machine on display before polls. (HT File Photo)
Published on Jan 01, 2024 10:25 AM IST

Number Theory: Are state poll verdicts becoming clearer now?

Twenty-seven of 30 state elections (90%) from 2019 to 2023 ended in a clear verdict

There has been no change since 1978 in the probability of a clear verdict in elections to 10 assemblies(Agencies)
Updated on Dec 21, 2023 01:14 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: Decoding BJP’s improved showing in state elections

The BJP’s record in the last two Lok Sabha elections continues to be better than its performance in state elections in most cases

A long-term analysis of BJP’s state election performance suggests that it has improved its performance in them after 2014.(PTI)
Updated on Dec 19, 2023 01:11 AM IST

Number Theory: Why is 2023 different from 2018? And what of 2024?

The Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) has won elections in three out of the four states for which results were declared on Sunday.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi being felicitated by top BJP leaders after the assembly election results on Sunday.
Published on Dec 04, 2023 07:44 AM IST

Assembly polls: The inability to retain mandate haunts Congress

The Congress’s loss in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh this time is symptomatic of a bigger crisis facing the party.

Supporters of Congress celebrate victory for their party in Telangana state elections in Hyderabad on Sunday. (AP)
Updated on Dec 04, 2023 02:12 AM IST

Decoding the mechanics of the Congress win in Telangana

BRS has lost almost ten percentage points in vote share between 2018 and 2023 which exactly how much Congress has gained in the state between the two elections.

Telangana Congress chief A Revanth Reddy with party workers in Hyderabad. (PTI)
Updated on Dec 04, 2023 02:20 AM IST

Number Theory: Results may go beyond states that went to polls

The results of the assembly elections in the states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Telangana will be announced today

MP election results 2023: A polling official puts a mark with indelible ink on the finger of a voter prior to casting her vote at a polling booth for the Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections.(ANI)
Published on Dec 03, 2023 07:20 AM IST

Number Theory: Will Telangana elect BRS for the third time?

An HT analysis of past results shows that any opposition party will have to really outperform its previous best

File image(PTI)
Updated on Nov 30, 2023 07:53 AM IST

Number Theory: The importance of Scheduled Tribe vote for the BJP

Here are the some charts that explain the importance of the ST outreach by the Prime Minister

ANI Photo
Published on Nov 29, 2023 07:55 AM IST

Rajasthan’s electoral contest explained

A look at some charts that explain the nature of the electoral battle taking place on November 25

Polling for the assembly elections in Rajasthan will take place on November 25.
Published on Nov 24, 2023 09:14 PM IST

Number Theory: The largest of the five-phase poll cycle

What is at stake in the election today?

Representative image(HT_PRINT)
Published on Nov 17, 2023 10:23 AM IST

Can BJP win back Karnataka by turning to Yediyurappa, Deve Gowda?

​Six months after it lost the Karnataka election, the BJP state unit has got a new president in B Y Vijayendra, the son of veteran BJP leader B S Yediyurappa.

Former Karnataka chief minister and BJP leader BS Yediyurappa congratulates son BY Vijayendra Yediyurappa on Friday. (ANI)
Updated on Nov 14, 2023 08:07 AM IST

Number Theory: Bihar's poverty hurdle, explained in six charts

What explains Bihar’s poverty? The answer to this question is not as simple as it sounds. Here are six charts which try to explain this

HT Image
Published on Nov 10, 2023 10:10 AM IST

Number Theory: What Bihar caste census data does not tell us

Without taking away anything from the importance of the data which has been released, here are some aspects which have been left unaddressed

The Nitish Kumar government released socio-economic caste survey data this week(PTI)
Updated on Nov 09, 2023 01:05 PM IST

Number Theory: Decoding the 1st phase of assembly elections

The voting on November 7 is the first and smallest of four phases of voting in the current round of elections

Voters queue up outside a polling booth in Kondagaon as they await their turn to cast a vote in the first phase of Assembly elections.(ANI)
Updated on Nov 07, 2023 09:56 AM IST

Number Theory: How bipolar are the MP, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh polls?

An HT analysis shows that the answer varies depending on which indicator one is looking at. Here are four charts which explain this in detail.

HT Image
Published on Oct 27, 2023 11:43 AM IST

How will BJP-JD(S) alliance impact Karnataka?

The JD (S)’s decision to join the NDA comes just about six months before the 2024 general elections.

Union Home Minister Amit Shah and BJP National President JP Nadda with former Karnataka chief minister HD Kumaraswamy durig a meeting, in New Delhi on Friday. (PTI)
Updated on Sep 23, 2023 08:18 AM IST

10-year analysis puts spotlight on boat capsizing deaths in Bihar

Between 2012 and 2021, Bihar accounted for 12.2% of all deaths in incidents involving capsizing of boats

Search operation continues on the banks of Bagmati river. (HT)
Updated on Sep 16, 2023 05:03 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number Theory: Behind the top court's pendency challenge

The Supreme Court of India will now be a part of the National Judicial Data Grid, the Chief Justice of India announced on Thursday

HT Image
Published on Sep 15, 2023 08:55 AM IST

Number theory: OBC chief ministers in India; deep dive into social patterns

This piece will look at the data on OBC chief ministers in detail. It will focus on three key questions to examine this issue.

Parliament House in Delhi(Hindustan Times)
Updated on Aug 18, 2023 01:33 AM IST

Number theory: A caste-wise analysis of all chief ministers in India

A look at the overall, intertemporal and state-wise caste breakup of chief ministers.

Caste plays a crucial role in India's electoral arithmetic.
Updated on Aug 17, 2023 07:11 PM IST

Madhya Pradesh has the highest crime rate against Dalits

MP had the highest crime rate against people belonging to Scheduled Caste (SC) groups in 2021, according to NCRB data.

Madhya Pradesh tops this list in crime rate against Scheduled Castes in 2021, according to NCRB. (Representational Image)
Updated on Jul 25, 2023 04:45 AM IST

Number theory: Is Congress today where Jan Sangh was in the ‘60s and ‘70s?

A look at how Cong is trying to achieve what the Jan Sangh did by forming a diverse opposition grouping against a dominant party.

Jan Sangh leader Atal Bihari Vajpayee addressed a rally at New Delhi’s India Gate lawns on August 12, 1971. (HT Archive)
Published on Jul 07, 2023 09:09 PM IST
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